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Census Tract · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Sun City Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04013071503 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,344

04013071503 is a census tract in Sun City, AZ. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 50%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 6% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units3,097
Renter share16.9%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$52,337

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 11 tracts In Sun City
Very Low
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#455 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#847 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
National
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#57,812 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sun City and the region

Centroid at 33.6103, -112.2785 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sun City scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sun City
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,190 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City
1.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City
2.1

How Sun City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sun City risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 0715033.2Sun Cityparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 0.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.2%Peak (2002)
  • 1Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 04013071503
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sun City

Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Annualized rent equals 50% of average household income of $52,337, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Average gross rent is $2,190, 40% above the Sun City average. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.2/10. Housing insecurity runs 3.3% against 14.2% nationally.

Court records carry 2 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The voucher gap is 12.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2002, when 0.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.2% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013071503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013071503?

Census tract 04013071503 in Sun City scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013071503?

Median gross rent is $2,190/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013071503?

5.1% of residents in tract 04013071503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,344.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013071503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 21th, minority 13th, housing 54th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013071503?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 04013071503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.23% of renter households, peaking at 0.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013071503 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013071503 compare to Sun City overall?

Tract 04013071503 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Sun City at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sun City

Top eight tracts in Sun City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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