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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Northgate Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013103608 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,259 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

04013103608 is a census tract in the Northgate area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,259. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 28% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,742
Renter share53.4%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$79,427

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Northgate
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#268 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#539 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#983 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6326, -112.1079 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northgate scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,457 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Northgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northgate risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 1036083.6Phoenixparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 464Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.8%Peak (2004)
  • 95Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 04013103608
Filings climbed 20% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northgate

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 464 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 23.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 19.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,457, close to the Phoenix average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013103608

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013103608?

Census tract 04013103608 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013103608?

Median gross rent is $1,457/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013103608?

5.4% of residents in tract 04013103608 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,259.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013103608?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 65th, minority 67th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 04013103608 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013103608 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013103608?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 464 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013103608 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.92% of renter households, peaking at 23.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013103608 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013103608 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013103608 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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