1 census tracts · pop 4,259 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10
· range 3.2–3.2
Northgate is a one-tract neighborhood of Phoenix, AZ and houses 4,259 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.2/10, Lower tier. Against a Phoenix baseline of 31.0%, 48% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 464 evictions logged in this tract. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 23.8% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 23.3% in 2005 against a 23.8% peak. Average gross rent is $1,457, 8% below the Phoenix average of $1,582. That places it #71 of 113 neighborhoods in Phoenix.
For a like-for-like read, Sandalwood and Camelback East score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Northgate vs PhoenixHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Northgate
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
464Total filings (sum)
19.92%Avg annual filing rate
23.8%Peak year (2004)
23.34%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northgate
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.3%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility shutoff threat
14.7%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
9.7%No health insurance
24.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Northgate
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Northgate?
Northgate scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Northgate compare to Phoenix overall?
Northgate scores 0.4 points lower than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,457 vs $1,582.
Q3
What is the average rent in Northgate?
Average gross rent in Northgate is $1,457/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Northgate residents are renters?
53% of Northgate households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 4,259 residents.
Q5
Is Northgate a high social-vulnerability area?
Northgate sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Northgate for landlords?
Northgate carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Northgate?
Northgate has 4,338 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.3%), Hispanic / Latino (20.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
