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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Vista del Cerro Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013105101 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,299 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 04013105101 runs through the Vista del Cerro neighborhood of Phoenix. With 4,299 residents, it scores 4.4/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 21% of US census tracts.

About 23% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $181,520 a year. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 3% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,641
Renter share4.4%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$181,520

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Vista del Cerro
Moderate
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#357 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very Low
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#687 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#1,323 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.5740, -111.9968 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vista del Cerro scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Vista del Cerro compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vista del Cerro risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 105101Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 17Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.3%Peak (2004)
  • 3Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131051012001: 1 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2004: 7 filings (11.29/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (15.79/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vista del Cerro

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 17 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 7.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.3% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013105101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013105101?

Census tract 04013105101 in the Vista del Cerro neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013105101?

2.3% of residents in tract 04013105101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,299.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013105101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 15th, minority 32th, housing 10th.
Q4

Is tract 04013105101 considered part of Vista del Cerro?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013105101 fall within Vista del Cerro (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013105101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013105101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.67% of renter households, peaking at 11.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013105101 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013105101 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013105101 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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