Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. At $1,008 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Cost burden runs 52% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

The filing record is not thin: 1,966 evictions over 5 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 26.0% against 17.8% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 33.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 29.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.