Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
County Fair West Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013112504 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,024 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
04013112504 is a census tract in the County Fair West area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,024. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,160
Renter share63.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$68,409
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4768, -112.1948 · click any tract to drill in
Why County Fair West scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,373 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How County Fair West compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,125Total filings over 5 yrs
- 38.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 47.6%Peak (2003)
- 133Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within County Fair West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.8%Housing insecurity
- 13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.8%Food insecurity
- 23.8%SNAP enrollment
- 16.2%Transit barriers
- 29.1%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 35.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in County Fair West
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 29.1% against 11.3% nationally. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
SNAP participation runs 23.8% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 1,125 evictions over 5 years of observation.
At $1,373 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. Filings peaked in 2003 at 47.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 38.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013112504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013112504?
Census tract 04013112504 in the County Fair West neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013112504?
Median gross rent is $1,373/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013112504?
18.4% of residents in tract 04013112504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,024.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013112504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 94th, minority 89th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 04013112504 considered part of County Fair West?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013112504 fall within County Fair West (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013112504?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,125 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013112504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.31% of renter households, peaking at 47.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013112504 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013112504 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013112504 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013107001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114401
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013116735
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013106001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
County Fair West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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