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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

County Fair West Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013112520 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,163 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 04013112520 (the County Fair West area of Phoenix, Arizona) comes in at 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 55% of US census tracts.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,671 a month against an average household income of $80,515 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 24% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,180
Renter share39.0%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$80,515

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In County Fair West
Low
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#111 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#149 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#382 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4767, -112.2121 · click any tract to drill in

Why County Fair West scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,671 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How County Fair West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
County Fair West risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 112520Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within County Fair West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in County Fair West

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013112520

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013112520?

Census tract 04013112520 in the County Fair West neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013112520?

Median gross rent is $1,671/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013112520?

24.3% of residents in tract 04013112520 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,163.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013112520?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 64th, minority 89th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 04013112520 considered part of County Fair West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013112520 fall within County Fair West (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013112520 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013112520 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013112520 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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