Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Terralea Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013112516 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,721 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 04013112516 sits in the Terralea area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It is home to 4,721 residents. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 26%Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,281
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$61,401
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Terralea
Moderate
Within parent city
51th percentile
#188 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Moderate
Within county
69th percentile
#315 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
68th percentile
#559 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4298, -112.1865 · click any tract to drill in
Why Terralea scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,753 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Terralea compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
87%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
34%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
23.4%Housing insecurity
12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
30.7%Food insecurity
20.9%SNAP enrollment
14.9%Transit barriers
26.7%No health insurance
17.9%Frequent mental distress
33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Terralea
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $61,401, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 30.7% against 17.8% nationally.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Housing insecurity runs 23.4% against 14.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,753, 11% above the Phoenix average. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013112516
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013112516?
Census tract 04013112516 in the Terralea neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013112516?
Median gross rent is $1,753/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013112516?
10.2% of residents in tract 04013112516 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,721.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013112516?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 74th, minority 94th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 04013112516 considered part of Terralea?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013112516 fall within Terralea (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013112516 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013112516 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013112516 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.