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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Ahwatukee Foothills Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013116721 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,653 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

04013116721 is a census tract in the Ahwatukee Foothills area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,653. At $2,309 a month, rents run 46% over what the rest of Phoenix commands.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 11% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,405
Renter share18.5%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$107,969

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Ahwatukee Foothills
Very High
Within parent city
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#280 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#707 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3092, -112.0136 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ahwatukee Foothills scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,309 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Ahwatukee Foothills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ahwatukee Foothills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 116721Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 223Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.8%Peak (2005)
  • 64Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131167212001: 28 filings (9.24/100 renter HHs)2002: 37 filings (12.21/100 renter HHs)2003: 62 filings (20.46/100 renter HHs)2004: 32 filings (10.56/100 renter HHs)2005: 64 filings (16.84/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 129% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ahwatukee Foothills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ahwatukee Foothills

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. SNAP participation runs 3.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 18.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Court records carry 223 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 16.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.9% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013116721

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116721?

Census tract 04013116721 in the Ahwatukee Foothills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013116721?

Median gross rent is $2,309/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116721?

1.2% of residents in tract 04013116721 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,653.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116721?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 66th, minority 42th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 04013116721 considered part of Ahwatukee Foothills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116721 fall within Ahwatukee Foothills (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013116721?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 223 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013116721 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.86% of renter households, peaking at 16.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013116721 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013116721 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013116721 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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