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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,834 of 84,120 nationally

Knoell East Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013422227 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,522 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 04013422227 sits in the Knoell East neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 1,522 and an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). 37% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 27% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,497/month against a median household income of $84,313 — roughly 21% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 16% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units683
Renter share25.6%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$84,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 3 tracts In Knoell East
Very High
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank — 23th percentileBottomTop
#103 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank — 16th percentileBottomTop
#844 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank — 28th percentileBottomTop
#1,275 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3835, -111.8850 · click any tract to drill in

Why Knoell East scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,497 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Knoell East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Knoell East risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 422227Mesa: 3.13.1Mesaparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Knoell East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422227

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422227?

Census tract 04013422227 in the Knoell East neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422227?

Median gross rent is $1,497/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422227?

6.0% of residents in tract 04013422227 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,522.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422227?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 6th, minority 47th, housing 9th.

Q5

Is tract 04013422227 considered part of Knoell East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422227 fall within Knoell East (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

Q6

What share of households in tract 04013422227 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 04013422227 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422227 scores 4.5/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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