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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Knoell East Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013422227 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,522 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.5/10 for census tract 04013422227 reflects conditions in the Knoell East neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. On the national scale it ranks #63,931 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,497 monthly, set against $84,313 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 16% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units683
Renter share25.6%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$84,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Knoell East
Very High
Within parent city
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#87 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#644 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#1,243 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3835, -111.8850 · click any tract to drill in

Why Knoell East scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,497 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Knoell East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Knoell East risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 422227Mesa: 2.82.8Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Knoell East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Knoell East

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mesa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422227

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422227?

Census tract 04013422227 in the Knoell East neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422227?

Median gross rent is $1,497/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422227?

6.0% of residents in tract 04013422227 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,522.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422227?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 6th, minority 47th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422227 considered part of Knoell East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422227 fall within Knoell East (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013422227 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013422227 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422227 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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