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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,465 of 84,120 nationally

Fountain of the Sun Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013422634 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,186 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 04013422634 sits in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 5,186 and an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). 39% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 3% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,439/month against a median household income of $58,750 — roughly 29% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 18% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,148
Renter share30.1%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$58,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank — 20th percentileBottomTop
#5 of 6 tracts In Fountain of the Sun
Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank — 25th percentileBottomTop
#100 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank — 20th percentileBottomTop
#812 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank — 32th percentileBottomTop
#1,199 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3864, -111.6578 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fountain of the Sun scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,439 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Fountain of the Sun compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fountain of the Sun risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 422634Mesa: 3.13.1Mesaparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 87Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak (2005)
  • 21Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134226342001: 19 filings (9.53/100 renter HHs)2002: 13 filings (6.52/100 renter HHs)2003: 15 filings (7.52/100 renter HHs)2004: 19 filings (9.53/100 renter HHs)2005: 21 filings (5.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fountain of the Sun. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422634

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422634?

Census tract 04013422634 in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422634?

Median gross rent is $1,439/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422634?

9.4% of residents in tract 04013422634 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,186.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422634?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 95th, minority 63th, housing 65th.

Q5

Is tract 04013422634 considered part of Fountain of the Sun?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422634 fall within Fountain of the Sun (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422634?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 87 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422634 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.65% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422634 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 04013422634 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422634 scores 4.6/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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