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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Copperstone Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013422653 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,741 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04013422653 in the Copperstone area of Mesa, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 16% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 12% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,848
Renter share14.3%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$76,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Copperstone
Very Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#115 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Very Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#841 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3983, -111.5912 · click any tract to drill in

Why Copperstone scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,062 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Copperstone compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Copperstone risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 422653Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Copperstone. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Copperstone

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $76,667 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. At $2,062 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Mesa commands.

11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422653

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422653?

Census tract 04013422653 in the Copperstone neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422653?

Median gross rent is $2,062/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422653?

3.6% of residents in tract 04013422653 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,741.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422653?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 82th, minority 50th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422653 considered part of Copperstone?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422653 fall within Copperstone (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013422653 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013422653 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422653 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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