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Neighborhood · Ranked #74,843 of 84,120 nationally

Copperstone Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013422629 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,804 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 04013422629 sits in the Copperstone neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 3,804 and an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10 (Lower tier). 17% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 0% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,867/month against a median household income of $84,240 — roughly 27% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 23% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,305
Renter share27.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$84,240

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Copperstone
Very High
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank — 5th percentileBottomTop
#127 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Very Low
Within county
2 th percentile
Rank — 2th percentileBottomTop
#989 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank — 10th percentileBottomTop
#1,598 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4115, -111.5927 · click any tract to drill in

Why Copperstone scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,867 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Copperstone compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Copperstone risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 422629Mesa: 3.13.1Mesaparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 114Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 11.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak (2005)
  • 28Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134226292001: 20 filings (10.61/100 renter HHs)2002: 16 filings (8.49/100 renter HHs)2003: 25 filings (13.26/100 renter HHs)2004: 25 filings (13.26/100 renter HHs)2005: 28 filings (9.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Copperstone. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422629

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422629?

Census tract 04013422629 in the Copperstone neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422629?

Median gross rent is $1,867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422629?

2.1% of residents in tract 04013422629 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,804.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422629?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 98th, minority 46th, housing 50th.

Q5

Is tract 04013422629 considered part of Copperstone?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422629 fall within Copperstone (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422629?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 114 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422629 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.09% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422629 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 04013422629 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422629 scores 3.9/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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