Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Copperstone Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422629 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,804 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 04013422629 sits in the Copperstone area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 3,804 residents. 17% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,305
Renter share27.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$84,240
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4115, -111.5927 · click any tract to drill in
Why Copperstone scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,867 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Copperstone compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 114Total filings over 5 yrs
- 11.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.8%Peak (2005)
- 28Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Copperstone. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.7%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Copperstone
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
The filing record is not thin: 114 evictions over 5 years of observation. At $1,867 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Mesa commands.
SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 9.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422629
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422629?
Census tract 04013422629 in the Copperstone neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422629?
Median gross rent is $1,867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422629?
2.1% of residents in tract 04013422629 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,804.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422629?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 98th, minority 46th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422629 considered part of Copperstone?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422629 fall within Copperstone (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422629?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 114 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422629 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.09% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422629 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422629 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422629 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dobson Shores
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Velda Rose Estates
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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