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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Continental at Superstition Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013422654 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,245 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 04013422654 covers part of the Continental at Superstition Springs area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,245. At $2,277 a month, rents run 41% over what the rest of Mesa commands.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 6% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,628
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$145,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Continental at Superstition Springs
Very Low
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#110 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Very Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#842 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3565, -111.6705 · click any tract to drill in

Why Continental at Superstition Springs scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,277 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Continental at Superstition Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Continental at Superstition Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 422654Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Continental at Superstition Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Continental at Superstition Springs

33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The voucher gap is 16.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422654

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422654?

Census tract 04013422654 in the Continental at Superstition Springs neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422654?

Median gross rent is $2,277/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422654?

3.6% of residents in tract 04013422654 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,245.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422654?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 37th, minority 49th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422654 considered part of Continental at Superstition Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422654 fall within Continental at Superstition Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013422654 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013422654 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422654 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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