Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Continental at Superstition Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013422618 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,064 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 04013422618 sits in the Continental at Superstition Springs area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. Population here is 3,064. Cost burden runs 67% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score

3.5

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 2% Owners 93%

Tract context

Occupied units1,773

Renter share7.3%

SVI overall0.10

Poverty rate5.8%

Median income$57,098

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3718, -111.6618 · click any tract to drill in

Why Continental at Superstition Springs scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mesa

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

5.8% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$1,663 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mesa

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

How Continental at Superstition Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
4%Racial/ethnic minority
11%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Continental at Superstition Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

3.0%Housing insecurity
1.9%Utility-shutoff threat
6.1%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
3.6%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
8.2%Frequent mental distress
42.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Continental at Superstition Springs

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $57,098 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

Housing insecurity runs 3.0% against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422618

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422618?

Census tract 04013422618 in the Continental at Superstition Springs neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013422618?

Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422618?

5.8% of residents in tract 04013422618 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,064.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422618?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 44th, minority 4th, housing 11th.

Is tract 04013422618 considered part of Continental at Superstition Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422618 fall within Continental at Superstition Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013422618 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 1.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013422618 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422618 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.