Continental at Superstition Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

Against a Mesa baseline of 32.3%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.4/10.

At $2,045 a month, rents sit 26% over what the rest of Mesa commands. Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.3/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records carry 793 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 235.0% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 28.6% in 2005, is well off that peak. That places it #18 of 33 neighborhoods in Mesa. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $106,169.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.