Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Continental at Superstition Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 21,203 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.1/10 · range 1.4–3.4

Continental at Superstition Springs is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mesa with 5 census tracts and a population of 21,203 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 12% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,045/month sits 26% higher than the Mesa citywide average ($1,620).

Risk score

2.1

Lower

5 tracts · population-weighted

Continental at Superstition Springs vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

42.7% +32%

Mesa: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$2,045 +26%

Mesa: $1,620

Average HH income

$106,169 +35%

Mesa: $78,779

Poverty rate

5.3% -50%

Mesa: 10.5%

Renter share

22.7% -36%

Mesa: 35.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Continental at Superstition Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 1.4–3.4

Why Continental at Superstition Springs scores 2.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 2.5–3.5 across tracts

3.3

Rent control risk

43% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–3.0 across tracts

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

23% renter households · Range 1.5–2.5 across tracts

2.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.5 across tracts

2.4

Economic stress

5.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.9 across tracts

1.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–6.7 across tracts

5.5

Risk score comparison

Continental at Superstition Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Continental at Superstition Springs?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2 points from 1.4 to 3.4. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

3.4 3.0 1.7 1.7 1.4

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Continental at Superstition Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013422633	3.4	2,948	59%	$1,677
04013422618	3	3,064	67%	$1,663
04013422617	1.7	5,574	28%	$2,261
04013422622	1.7	4,372	45%	$2,009
04013422654	1.4	5,245	33%	$2,277

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 30%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 34%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 38%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Continental at Superstition Springs

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

793Total filings (sum)
63.76%Avg annual filing rate
235.0%Peak year (2004)
22.05%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Continental at Superstition Springs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.7%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility shutoff threat
11.1%Food insecurity
7.6%SNAP enrollment
8.7%No health insurance
28.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Continental at Superstition Springs

What is the eviction-risk score for Continental at Superstition Springs?

Continental at Superstition Springs scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Continental at Superstition Springs compare to Mesa overall?

Continental at Superstition Springs scores 0.7 points lower than Mesa overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,045 vs $1,620.

What is the average rent in Continental at Superstition Springs?

Average gross rent in Continental at Superstition Springs is $2,045/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Continental at Superstition Springs residents are renters?

23% of Continental at Superstition Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 21,203 residents.

Is Continental at Superstition Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Continental at Superstition Springs sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Continental at Superstition Springs have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Continental at Superstition Springs is census tract 04013422633 (score 3.4/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.4 to 3.4, a spread of 2 points.

How safe is Continental at Superstition Springs for landlords?

Continental at Superstition Springs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Continental at Superstition Springs?

Continental at Superstition Springs has 21,487 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (71.5%), Hispanic / Latino (17.3%), Other / Multiracial (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Continental at Superstition Springs

3.2 Fountain of the Sun 6 tracts · pop 22,068 1.4 Morrison Ranch 4 tracts · pop 21,352 3.3 Buckhorn 3 tracts · pop 13,120 3.6 Velda Rose Estates 3 tracts · pop 11,124 3 Venture Out 4 tracts · pop 11,661 1.6 Val Vista Lakes 3 tracts · pop 10,467

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Continental at Superstition Springs.

2.1 Rancho de Arboleda 3 tracts · pop 10,822 2.2 Meridian Hills 1 tracts · pop 3,268 2.2 Knoell East 3 tracts · pop 8,032 2.3 Woodridge Lakes 4 tracts · pop 18,992 2.3 Parkwood Ranch 1 tracts · pop 6,939 1.9 Summer Mesa 1 tracts · pop 4,891

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