Mountain Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

At $2,578 a month, rents run 63% over what the rest of Phoenix commands. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The voucher gap is 32.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 20 filings here across 5 tracked years.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2004, when 6.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.