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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Triple Crown Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013617300 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,964 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 04013617300 sits in the Triple Crown area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. It is home to 2,964 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 20% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,331
Renter share43.8%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$91,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Triple Crown
Moderate
Within parent city
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#274 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#571 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,035 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6580, -111.9916 · click any tract to drill in

Why Triple Crown scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,112 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Triple Crown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Triple Crown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 617300Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 199Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 21.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 36.7%Peak (2004)
  • 27Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040136173002001: 33 filings (18.36/100 renter HHs)2002: 34 filings (18.92/100 renter HHs)2003: 39 filings (21.70/100 renter HHs)2004: 66 filings (36.72/100 renter HHs)2005: 27 filings (9.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Triple Crown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Triple Crown

Average gross rent is $2,112, 34% above the Phoenix average. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Court records carry 199 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 0.6 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2004, when 36.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 21.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013617300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013617300?

Census tract 04013617300 in the Triple Crown neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013617300?

Median gross rent is $2,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013617300?

6.5% of residents in tract 04013617300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,964.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013617300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 2th, minority 40th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 04013617300 considered part of Triple Crown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013617300 fall within Triple Crown (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013617300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 199 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013617300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.08% of renter households, peaking at 36.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013617300 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013617300 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013617300 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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