Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Triple Crown Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013617300 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,964 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Here is how census tract 04013617300, in Triple Crown in Phoenix eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,964. On the national scale it ranks #41,215 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,112 monthly, set against $91,875 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 20% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,331
Renter share43.8%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$91,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Triple Crown
Moderate
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#277 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#445 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#934 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6580, -111.9916 · click any tract to drill in

Why Triple Crown scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,112 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Triple Crown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Triple Crown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 617300Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 199Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 21.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 36.7%Peak (2004)
  • 27Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040136173002001: 33 filings (18.36/100 renter HHs)2002: 34 filings (18.92/100 renter HHs)2003: 39 filings (21.70/100 renter HHs)2004: 66 filings (36.72/100 renter HHs)2005: 27 filings (9.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Triple Crown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Triple Crown

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 199 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 21.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 36.7% of renter households in 2004.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013617300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013617300?

Census tract 04013617300 in the Triple Crown neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013617300?

Median gross rent is $2,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013617300?

6.5% of residents in tract 04013617300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,964.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013617300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 2th, minority 40th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 04013617300 considered part of Triple Crown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013617300 fall within Triple Crown (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013617300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 199 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013617300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.08% of renter households, peaking at 36.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013617300 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013617300 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013617300 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related