Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,465 of 84,120 nationally
Orangetree Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chandler
Tract 04013810300 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,218 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 04013810300 sits in the Orangetree neighborhood of Chandler, Arizona. It has a population of 6,218 and an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). 41% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 27% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,956/month against a median household income of $92,762 — roughly 25% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,555
Renter share42.3%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$92,762
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.3276, -111.8850 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orangetree scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,956 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
How Orangetree compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 185Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2005)
- 49Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 123% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orangetree. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 7.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 24.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 04013810300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013810300?
Census tract 04013810300 in the Orangetree neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013810300?
Median gross rent is $1,956/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013810300?
4.8% of residents in tract 04013810300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,218.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013810300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 78th, minority 64th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 04013810300 considered part of Orangetree?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013810300 fall within Orangetree (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013810300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 185 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013810300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.35% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013810300 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013810300 compare to Chandler overall?
Tract 04013810300 scores 4.6/10 — higher than the parent city of Chandler at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013522903
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523002
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Carrizal
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Stonefield
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Sendera Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522904
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
New Horizons
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Prado del Sol
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
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