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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Pepperwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013810700 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,611 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 04013810700 sits in the Pepperwood area of Chandler eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 7,611 residents. Cost burden runs 30% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 32% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,950
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$90,911

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Pepperwood
Very High
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#35 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Moderate
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#930 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.3129, -111.9028 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pepperwood scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,639 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Pepperwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pepperwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 810700Chandler: 3.23.2Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,272Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.4%Peak (2004)
  • 251Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138107002001: 234 filings (17.65/100 renter HHs)2002: 244 filings (18.40/100 renter HHs)2003: 260 filings (19.61/100 renter HHs)2004: 283 filings (21.35/100 renter HHs)2005: 251 filings (19.17/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pepperwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pepperwood

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 1,272 evictions over 5 years of observation. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,639 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Chandler commands.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2004, when 21.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 19.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013810700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013810700?

Census tract 04013810700 in the Pepperwood neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013810700?

Median gross rent is $1,639/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013810700?

5.9% of residents in tract 04013810700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,611.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013810700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 29th, minority 59th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 04013810700 considered part of Pepperwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013810700 fall within Pepperwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013810700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,272 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013810700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.24% of renter households, peaking at 21.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013810700 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013810700 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013810700 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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