Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Wild Tree Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013811000 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,127 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 04013811000 sits in the Wild Tree area of Chandler eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 8% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,036
Renter share16.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$117,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Wild Tree
Moderate
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#35 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Moderate
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#933 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.2981, -111.9194 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wild Tree scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,060 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Wild Tree compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Wild Tree risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 811000Chandler: 3.23.2Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 21Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.1%Peak (2004)
  • 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138110002001: 2 filings (3.12/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (4.69/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (7.81/100 renter HHs)2004: 9 filings (14.06/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (2.02/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wild Tree

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Court records carry 21 eviction filings across 5 observed years. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2004 at 14.1% of renter households. Average gross rent is $2,060, 8% above the Chandler average. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013811000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013811000?

Census tract 04013811000 in the Wild Tree neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013811000?

Median gross rent is $2,060/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013811000?

3.4% of residents in tract 04013811000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,127.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013811000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 48th, minority 52th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 04013811000 considered part of Wild Tree?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013811000 fall within Wild Tree (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013811000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013811000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.34% of renter households, peaking at 14.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013811000 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013811000 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013811000 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related