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Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Canyon Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013812100 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,072 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up the Canyon Oaks area of Chandler, census tract 04013812100 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,968 monthly, set against $99,302 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 15% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,706
Renter share32.6%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$99,302

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Canyon Oaks
Very High
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#30 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Moderate
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#828 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#1,515 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.2875, -111.8136 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canyon Oaks scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,968 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Canyon Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Canyon Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.91.9This tracttract 812100Chandler: 2.52.5Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 55Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 29.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 88.8%Peak (2004)
  • 17Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138121002001: 3 filings (11.10/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (3.70/100 renter HHs)2003: 10 filings (36.98/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (88.76/100 renter HHs)2005: 17 filings (6.93/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 467% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Canyon Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canyon Oaks

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chandler eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 55 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 29.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 88.8% of renter households in 2004.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013812100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013812100?

Census tract 04013812100 in the Canyon Oaks neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013812100?

Median gross rent is $1,968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013812100?

4.8% of residents in tract 04013812100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,072.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013812100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 64th, minority 61th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 04013812100 considered part of Canyon Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013812100 fall within Canyon Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013812100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 55 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013812100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.49% of renter households, peaking at 88.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013812100 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013812100 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013812100 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Chandler at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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