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Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Avier East Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013812400 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,539 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 04013812400 covers the Avier East neighborhood of Chandler in Arizona. Home to 7,539 residents, it scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 19th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,244 monthly, set against $131,221 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 36% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units3,208
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$131,221

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Avier East
Moderate
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Very Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#976 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#1,712 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.2686, -111.8046 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avier East scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,244 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Avier East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avier East risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.21.2This tracttract 812400Chandler: 2.52.5Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.4%Peak (2003)
  • 4Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138124002001: 1 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)2003: 4 filings (10.38/100 renter HHs)2004: 4 filings (10.38/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (1.14/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 300% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avier East

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chandler eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013812400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013812400?

Census tract 04013812400 in the Avier East neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013812400?

Median gross rent is $2,244/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013812400?

3.3% of residents in tract 04013812400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,539.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013812400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 12th, minority 57th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 04013812400 considered part of Avier East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013812400 fall within Avier East (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013812400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013812400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.42% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013812400 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013812400 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013812400 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Chandler at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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