Neighborhood · Ranked #70,070 of 84,120 nationally

The Trails Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chandler

Tract 04013812500 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,219 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 04013812500 sits in the The Trails neighborhood of Chandler, Arizona. It has a population of 2,219 and an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). 24% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 0% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,484/month against a median household income of $179,444 — roughly 17% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 8% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units612

Renter share10.1%

SVI overall0.11

Poverty rate0.2%

Median income$179,444

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.2689, -111.7843 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Trails scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chandler

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

0.2% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,484 rent vs county FMR

7.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chandler

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chandler

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chandler

2.0

How The Trails compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

7%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
22%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

14Total filings over 3 yrs
107.08%Avg annual filing rate
92.5%Peak (2005)
11Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.6%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
9.3%Food insecurity
5.4%SNAP enrollment
5.3%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
20.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013812500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013812500?

Census tract 04013812500 in the The Trails neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013812500?

Median gross rent is $2,484/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013812500?

0.2% of residents in tract 04013812500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,219.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013812500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 12th, minority 65th, housing 22th.

Is tract 04013812500 considered part of The Trails?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013812500 fall within The Trails (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013812500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 04013812500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 107.08% of renter households, peaking at 92.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013812500 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013812500 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013812500 scores 4.2/10 — higher than the parent city of Chandler at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.