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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Pie Allen Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

Tract 04019000402 · Pima, AZ · pop 1,324 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

04019000402 is a census tract in the Pie Allen area of Tucson, AZ. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,324. Severe burden reaches 44%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 34% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units735
Renter share80.5%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate50.3%
Median income$33,836

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Pie Allen
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 143 tracts In Tucson
High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 270 tracts In Pima
High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2269, -110.9662 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pie Allen scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
50.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$960 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Pie Allen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pie Allen risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 000402Tucson: 3.83.8Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pie Allen

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 50%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against Pima County at 43.8%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $33,836, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. At $960 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Tucson commands. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019000402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019000402?

Census tract 04019000402 in the Pie Allen neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019000402?

Median gross rent is $960/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019000402?

50.3% of residents in tract 04019000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,324.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019000402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 1th, minority 58th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 04019000402 considered part of Pie Allen?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019000402 fall within Pie Allen (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019000402 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019000402 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019000402 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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