Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Miracle Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019001303 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,868 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 04019001303 in the Miracle Manor area of Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,868. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,306
Renter share60.9%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate31.9%
Median income$35,055
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2557, -110.9823 · click any tract to drill in
Why Miracle Manor scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
31.9% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$850 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Miracle Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,411Total filings over 12 yrs
- 13.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.1%Peak (2004)
- 110Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.8%Housing insecurity
- 19.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.8%Food insecurity
- 34.7%SNAP enrollment
- 19.9%Transit barriers
- 23.9%No health insurance
- 21.3%Frequent mental distress
- 46.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Miracle Manor
Cost burden runs 57% here against 43.8% across Pima County. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.2/10. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 46.9% against 31.5% nationally.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Average gross rent is $850, 26% below the Tucson average.
Adults with no health insurance runs 23.9% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,411 filings here across 12 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 14.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.1% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019001303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019001303?
Census tract 04019001303 in the Miracle Manor neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019001303?
Median gross rent is $850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019001303?
31.9% of residents in tract 04019001303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,868.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019001303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 85th, minority 79th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 04019001303 considered part of Miracle Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019001303 fall within Miracle Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019001303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,411 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019001303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.13% of renter households, peaking at 14.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019001303 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019001303 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019001303 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Histórico District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Flowing Wells
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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04019004035
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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