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Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Miracle Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,868 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Miracle Manor is a one-tract neighborhood of Tucson, AZ, population 2,868. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. 45% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Against a Tucson baseline of 32.8%, 57% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.2/10. The poverty rate is 32%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation is 34.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $850, 26% below the Tucson average of $1,145.

19.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 8/10.

The filing record is not thin: 1,411 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 14.1% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 12.1% in 2017 against a 14.1% peak. Among the 32 mapped neighborhoods of Tucson, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Miracle Manor vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.9% +73%
Tucson: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$850 -26%
Tucson: $1,145
Average HH income
$35,055 -36%
Tucson: $54,546
Poverty rate
31.9% +69%
Tucson: 18.8%
Renter share
60.9% +26%
Tucson: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Miracle Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Miracle Manor scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
31.9% below poverty line · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

Miracle Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Miracle Manor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Miracle Manor: 5.25.2Miracle ManorNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Miracle Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019001303 5.2 2,868 57% $850
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 100

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 99%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 100%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Miracle Manor

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,411Total filings (sum)
  • 13.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.1%Peak year (2004)
  • 12.13%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Miracle Manor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Miracle Manor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Miracle Manor?

Miracle Manor scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Miracle Manor compare to Tucson overall?

Miracle Manor scores 1.4 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $850 vs $1,145.
Q3

What is the average rent in Miracle Manor?

Average gross rent in Miracle Manor is $850/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Miracle Manor residents are renters?

61% of Miracle Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 2,868 residents.
Q5

Is Miracle Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Miracle Manor sits in the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Miracle Manor for landlords?

Miracle Manor carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Miracle Manor?

Miracle Manor has 2,891 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (54.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Miracle Manor

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Miracle Manor.

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