El Cortez Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs 55% here against 43.8% across Pima County. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $36,040, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.

Court records carry 998 eviction filings across 12 observed years. The worst year on record was 2006, when 10.4% of renter households were served. At $1,049 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Tucson commands.

In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.