Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Silvercroft Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019001200 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,636 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
04019001200 is a census tract in the Silvercroft area of Tucson, AZ. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,636 residents. 26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Pima County average of 43.8%.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,322
Renter share59.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$51,953
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2430, -110.9957 · click any tract to drill in
Why Silvercroft scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,044 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Silvercroft compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 780Total filings over 12 yrs
- 11.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.5%Peak (2004)
- 46Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Silvercroft. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.9%Housing insecurity
- 12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.4%Food insecurity
- 18.8%SNAP enrollment
- 13.9%Transit barriers
- 20.0%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 38.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Silvercroft
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 20.0% against 11.3% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 780 filings here across 12 tracked years.
Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 25.4% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.7 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 19.5% of renter households. At $1,044 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Tucson commands. In a typical year about 11.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019001200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019001200?
Census tract 04019001200 in the Silvercroft neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019001200?
Median gross rent is $1,044/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019001200?
15.7% of residents in tract 04019001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,636.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 98th, minority 84th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 04019001200 considered part of Silvercroft?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019001200 fall within Silvercroft (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 780 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.19% of renter households, peaking at 19.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019001200 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019001200 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019001200 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Rincon Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003901
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002801
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Broadway Northeast
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002201
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002202
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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