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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Palo Verde Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson

Tract 04019003302 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,974 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

With a score of 3.9/10, tract 04019003302 in the Palo Verde Park area of Tucson, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 14% here against 43.8% across Pima County.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 14% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,769
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$73,493

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Palo Verde Park
Elevated
Within parent city
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#95 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Low
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 270 tracts In Pima
Elevated
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#670 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2138, -110.8495 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palo Verde Park scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,184 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Palo Verde Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palo Verde Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 003302Tucson: 3.83.8Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 184Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 5.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2006)
  • 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190033022004: 19 filings (7.12/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (6.61/100 renter HHs)2006: 22 filings (9.69/100 renter HHs)2007: 20 filings (8.81/100 renter HHs)2008: 14 filings (6.17/100 renter HHs)2009: 15 filings (6.61/100 renter HHs)2010: 12 filings (3.37/100 renter HHs)2011: 18 filings (4.38/100 renter HHs)2012: 15 filings (3.65/100 renter HHs)2013: 21 filings (5.11/100 renter HHs)2016: 11 filings (2.17/100 renter HHs)2017: 2 filings (0.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 89% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palo Verde Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palo Verde Park

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 184 evictions over 12 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2006, when 9.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10.

It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely. Average gross rent is $1,184, close to the Tucson average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019003302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003302?

Census tract 04019003302 in the Palo Verde Park neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019003302?

Median gross rent is $1,184/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003302?

14.8% of residents in tract 04019003302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,974.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 73th, minority 59th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 04019003302 considered part of Palo Verde Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003302 fall within Palo Verde Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 184 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.34% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019003302 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019003302 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019003302 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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