Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Palo Verde Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson
Tract 04019004010 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,050 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 04019004010 in the Palo Verde Park area of Tucson, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,050. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,609
Renter share50.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$59,095
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
35
th percentile
Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2134, -110.8344 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palo Verde Park scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,217 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Palo Verde Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,568Total filings over 12 yrs
- 16.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.3%Peak (2008)
- 73Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palo Verde Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.6%Food insecurity
- 10.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 33.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palo Verde Park
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,568 filings here across 12 tracked years. 48% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Pima County average of 43.8%.
The worst year on record was 2008, when 22.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 16.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,217, close to the Tucson average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004010
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004010?
Census tract 04019004010 in the Palo Verde Park neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004010?
Median gross rent is $1,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004010?
11.2% of residents in tract 04019004010 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,050.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004010?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 60th, minority 60th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004010 considered part of Palo Verde Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004010 fall within Palo Verde Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004010?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,568 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004010 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.64% of renter households, peaking at 22.3% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004010 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004010 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004010 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019003505
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miracle Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003506
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004432
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
El Cortez
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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