Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Palo Verde Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019003303 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,253 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 04019003303 sits in the Palo Verde Park area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It is home to 4,253 residents. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,065
Renter share59.6%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$49,152
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2206, -110.8666 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palo Verde Park scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,089 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Palo Verde Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,132Total filings over 12 yrs
- 16.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.9%Peak (2006)
- 119Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palo Verde Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.8%Food insecurity
- 12.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 11.9%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 37.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palo Verde Park
Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 2,132 evictions over 12 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2006 at 22.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 16.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10.
Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003303?
Census tract 04019003303 in the Palo Verde Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003303?
Median gross rent is $1,089/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003303?
21.4% of residents in tract 04019003303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,253.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 78th, minority 64th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003303 considered part of Palo Verde Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003303 fall within Palo Verde Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,132 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.31% of renter households, peaking at 22.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019003303 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019003303 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003303 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002201
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002202
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004407
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002400
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002503
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002504
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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