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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,404 of 84,120 nationally

Palo Verde Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

Tract 04019003303 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,253 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 04019003303 sits in the Palo Verde Park neighborhood of Tucson, Arizona. It has a population of 4,253 and an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). 64% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 32% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,089/month against a median household income of $49,152 — roughly 27% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 22% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,065
Renter share59.6%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$49,152

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank — 80th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 6 tracts In Palo Verde Park
High
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank — 73th percentileBottomTop
#40 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank — 75th percentileBottomTop
#68 of 270 tracts In Pima
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank — 93th percentileBottomTop
#123 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2206, -110.8666 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palo Verde Park scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,089 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Palo Verde Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palo Verde Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 003303Tucson: 4.64.6Tucsonparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,132Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 16.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.9%Peak (2006)
  • 119Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 — 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190033032004: 161 filings (12.25/100 renter HHs)2005: 184 filings (16.38/100 renter HHs)2006: 257 filings (22.87/100 renter HHs)2007: 222 filings (19.76/100 renter HHs)2008: 223 filings (19.85/100 renter HHs)2009: 210 filings (18.69/100 renter HHs)2010: 154 filings (15.84/100 renter HHs)2011: 141 filings (13.57/100 renter HHs)2012: 171 filings (16.46/100 renter HHs)2013: 195 filings (18.77/100 renter HHs)2016: 95 filings (9.42/100 renter HHs)2017: 119 filings (11.81/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palo Verde Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019003303

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003303?

Census tract 04019003303 in the Palo Verde Park neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019003303?

Median gross rent is $1,089/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003303?

21.4% of residents in tract 04019003303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,253.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 78th, minority 64th, housing 99th.

Q5

Is tract 04019003303 considered part of Palo Verde Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003303 fall within Palo Verde Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003303?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,132 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.31% of renter households, peaking at 22.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 04019003303 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 04019003303 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019003303 scores 5.9/10 — higher than the parent city of Tucson at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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