Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Palo Verde Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 23,424 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 3.3–5.2

Palo Verde Park takes in 6 census tracts of Tucson, AZ and houses 23,424 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Tucson rate of 32.8%.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.3 to 5.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Court records carry 5,193 eviction filings across its 5 observed tracts.

The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Average gross rent is $1,283, 12% above the Tucson average of $1,145. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 31.6% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 11.0% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 32 mapped neighborhoods of Tucson, it ranks #24 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are El Gheko and Sam Hughes.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $62,930. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

6 tracts · population-weighted

Palo Verde Park vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

40.9% +25%

Tucson: 32.8%

Average gross rent

$1,283 +12%

Tucson: $1,145

Average HH income

$62,930 +15%

Tucson: $54,546

Poverty rate

16.7% -11%

Tucson: 18.8%

Renter share

36.2% -25%

Tucson: 48.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Palo Verde Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 3.3–5.2

Why Palo Verde Park scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

41% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

36% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

16.7% below poverty line · Range 2.3–6.6 across tracts

4.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–6.7 across tracts

4.4

Risk score comparison

Palo Verde Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Palo Verde Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.9 points from 3.3 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.2 5.2 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in Palo Verde Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04019004076	5.2	4,927	66%	$1,600
04019003303	5.2	4,253	64%	$1,089
04019003302	3.9	3,974	14%	$1,184
04019004010	3.9	3,050	48%	$1,217
04019003504	3.7	2,781	23%	$1,221
04019004008	3.3	4,439	21%	$1,292

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 73

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 59%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 70%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 77%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Palo Verde Park

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

5,193Total filings (sum)
14.29%Avg annual filing rate
31.6%Peak year (2013)
11.44%Latest filed (2017)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Palo Verde Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.7%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
16.5%Food insecurity
13.1%SNAP enrollment
12.3%No health insurance
35.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Palo Verde Park

What is the eviction-risk score for Palo Verde Park?

Palo Verde Park scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Palo Verde Park compare to Tucson overall?

Palo Verde Park scores 0.5 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,283 vs $1,145.

What is the average rent in Palo Verde Park?

Average gross rent in Palo Verde Park is $1,283/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Palo Verde Park residents are renters?

36% of Palo Verde Park households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 23,424 residents.

Is Palo Verde Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Palo Verde Park sits in the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Palo Verde Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Palo Verde Park is census tract 04019004076 (score 5.2/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 5.2, a spread of 1.9 points.

How safe is Palo Verde Park for landlords?

Palo Verde Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Palo Verde Park?

Palo Verde Park has 24,418 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.6%), Hispanic / Latino (30.3%), Other / Multiracial (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Palo Verde Park

4.8 Vandenberg Village 4 tracts · pop 16,347 4.3 El Gheko 3 tracts · pop 11,905 4.5 Broadway Northeast 4 tracts · pop 12,779 4.7 Poet's Square 5 tracts · pop 18,675 3.5 Tanuri 2 tracts · pop 3,398 4.8 Palo Verde 6 tracts · pop 23,081

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Palo Verde Park.

4.2 Sam Hughes 1 tracts · pop 4,827 4.2 El Gheko 3 tracts · pop 11,905 4.1 Silvercroft 3 tracts · pop 10,071 4.5 Twelve Hundred River Condominums 3 tracts · pop 10,105 4.6 Broadway Northeast 4 tracts · pop 12,779 4 Broadmoor-Broadway 1 tracts · pop 3,577

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