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Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Palo Verde Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 23,424 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 4.7–6.3

Palo Verde Park is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Tucson with 6 census tracts and a population of 23,424 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,283/month sits 12% higher than the Tucson citywide median ($1,145).

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Palo Verde Park vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.9% +25%
Tucson: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,283 +12%
Tucson: $1,145
Average HH income
$62,930 +15%
Tucson: $54,546
Poverty rate
16.7% -11%
Tucson: 18.8%
Renter share
36.2% -25%
Tucson: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Palo Verde Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.7–6.3

Why Palo Verde Park scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
16.7% below poverty line · Range 2.3–6.6 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–6.7 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

Palo Verde Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Palo Verde Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Palo Verde Park: 5.45.4Palo Verde ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Palo Verde Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 4.7 to 6.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Palo Verde Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019004076 6.3 4,927 66% $1,600
04019003303 5.9 4,253 64% $1,089
04019004010 5.6 3,050 48% $1,217
04019003504 4.9 2,781 23% $1,221
04019004008 4.7 4,439 21% $1,292
04019003302 4.7 3,974 14% $1,184
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 73

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 59%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 70%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Palo Verde Park

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5,193Total filings (sum)
  • 14.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.6%Peak year (2013)
  • 11.44%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Palo Verde Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Palo Verde Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Palo Verde Park?

Palo Verde Park scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Palo Verde Park compare to Tucson overall?

Palo Verde Park scores 0.8 points higher than Tucson overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Median rent: $1,283 vs $1,145.

Q3

What is the average rent in Palo Verde Park?

Median gross rent in Palo Verde Park is $1,283/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Palo Verde Park residents are renters?

36% of Palo Verde Park households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 23,424 residents.

Q5

Is Palo Verde Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Palo Verde Park sits in the 73th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Palo Verde Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Palo Verde Park is census tract 04019004076 (score 6.3/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 6.3 — a spread of 1.6 points.

Q7

How safe is Palo Verde Park for landlords?

Palo Verde Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Palo Verde Park?

Palo Verde Park has 24,418 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.6%), Hispanic / Latino (30.3%), Other / Multiracial (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Palo Verde Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Palo Verde Park.

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