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Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Colonia Verde Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,823 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Colonia Verde maps to a single census tract in Tucson, AZ and houses 3,823 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 49% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Tucson rate of 32.8%.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records for this tract carry 874 eviction filings. SNAP participation is 6.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 25.0% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.3% of adults, 8.5 points below the national rate. The most recent observed rate, 3.9% in 2017, is well off that peak.

At $1,221 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Tucson commands. That places it #31 of 32 neighborhoods in Tucson.

For a like-for-like read, Barrio Kroeger Lane and Vactor Ranch score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $74,688, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Colonia Verde vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.1% +50%
Tucson: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,221 +7%
Tucson: $1,145
Average HH income
$74,688 +37%
Tucson: $54,546
Poverty rate
6.4% -66%
Tucson: 18.8%
Renter share
37.3% -23%
Tucson: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Colonia Verde and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Colonia Verde scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
6.4% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Colonia Verde vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Colonia Verde score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Colonia Verde: 3.03.0Colonia VerdeNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Colonia Verde

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019004032 3 3,823 49% $1,221
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 54

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Colonia Verde

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 874Total filings (sum)
  • 11.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.0%Peak year (2005)
  • 3.85%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Colonia Verde

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Colonia Verde

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Colonia Verde?

Colonia Verde scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Colonia Verde compare to Tucson overall?

Colonia Verde scores 0.8 points lower than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,221 vs $1,145.
Q3

What is the average rent in Colonia Verde?

Average gross rent in Colonia Verde is $1,221/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Colonia Verde residents are renters?

37% of Colonia Verde households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 3,823 residents.
Q5

Is Colonia Verde a high social-vulnerability area?

Colonia Verde sits in the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Colonia Verde for landlords?

Colonia Verde carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Colonia Verde?

Colonia Verde has 4,022 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.7%), Hispanic / Latino (29.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Colonia Verde

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Colonia Verde.

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