Within parent city
16
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004043 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,734
With a score of 3/10, tract 04019004043 in Tucson, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,734. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,519
Renter share12.9%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$96,012
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2136, -110.7812 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,080 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 85Total filings over 12 yrs
- 3.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2010)
- 4Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
Average gross rent is $2,080, 82% above the Tucson average. The voucher gap is 51.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Pima County average of 3.9.
Court records carry 85 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Filings peaked in 2010 at 7.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004043
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004043?
Census tract 04019004043 in Tucson scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004043?
Median gross rent is $2,080/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004043?
8.1% of residents in tract 04019004043 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,734.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004043?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 46th, minority 48th, housing 3th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004043?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 85 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004043 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.02% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004043 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004043 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004043 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019003505
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miracle Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003506
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004432
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
El Cortez
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Histórico District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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