Twelve Hundred River Condominums Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tucson
Tract 04019004510 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,562 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
How risky is the Twelve Hundred River Condominums area of Tucson for landlords? Census tract 04019004510 scores 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.
64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $896 a month against an average household income of $30,428 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2866, -110.9672 · click any tract to drill in
Why Twelve Hundred River Condominums scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Twelve Hundred River Condominums compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,740Total filings over 12 yrs
- 11.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.3%Peak (2006)
- 129Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Twelve Hundred River Condominums. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.6%Housing insecurity
- 14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.8%Food insecurity
- 24.5%SNAP enrollment
- 18.0%Transit barriers
- 16.2%No health insurance
- 23.9%Frequent mental distress
- 39.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Twelve Hundred River Condominums
What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 04019004510
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004510?
What is the average rent in tract 04019004510?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004510?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004510?
Is tract 04019004510 considered part of Twelve Hundred River Condominums?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004510?
What share of households in tract 04019004510 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04019004510 compare to Tucson overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.