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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Twelve Hundred River Condominums Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson

Tract 04019004710 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,943 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 04019004710 sits in the Twelve Hundred River Condominums area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. It is home to 3,943 residents. Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 23% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,166
Renter share52.5%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$55,744

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Twelve Hundred River Condominums
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#136 of 270 tracts In Pima
Moderate
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#811 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2837, -110.9359 · click any tract to drill in

Why Twelve Hundred River Condominums scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,373 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Twelve Hundred River Condominums compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Twelve Hundred River Condominums risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 004710Tucson: 3.83.8Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 955Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 5.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.1%Peak (2010)
  • 50Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190047102004: 85 filings (5.88/100 renter HHs)2005: 67 filings (3.95/100 renter HHs)2006: 52 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2007: 57 filings (3.36/100 renter HHs)2008: 79 filings (4.66/100 renter HHs)2009: 114 filings (6.73/100 renter HHs)2010: 127 filings (9.05/100 renter HHs)2011: 103 filings (7.72/100 renter HHs)2012: 83 filings (6.22/100 renter HHs)2013: 76 filings (5.70/100 renter HHs)2016: 62 filings (4.61/100 renter HHs)2017: 50 filings (3.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Twelve Hundred River Condominums. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Twelve Hundred River Condominums

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Pima County average of 43.8%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 2/10. At $1,373 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Tucson commands.

SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 955 filings here across 12 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2010 at 9.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004710

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004710?

Census tract 04019004710 in the Twelve Hundred River Condominums neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004710?

Median gross rent is $1,373/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004710?

7.9% of residents in tract 04019004710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,943.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004710?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 21th, minority 56th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 04019004710 considered part of Twelve Hundred River Condominums?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004710 fall within Twelve Hundred River Condominums (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004710?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 955 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004710 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.39% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019004710 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019004710 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019004710 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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