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Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally

Catalina Foothills Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004712 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,248 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

For landlords sizing up the Catalina Foothills neighborhood of Catalina Foothills, census tract 04019004712 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $977 monthly, set against $101,861 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 19% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,651
Renter share37.1%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$101,861

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Catalina Foothills
Very High
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 17 tracts In Catalina Foothills
Elevated
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#223 of 270 tracts In Pima
Very Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#1,487 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Catalina Foothills and the region

Centroid at 32.2916, -110.9082 · click any tract to drill in

Why Catalina Foothills scores 2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$977 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
3.5

How Catalina Foothills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Catalina Foothills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.02.0This tracttract 004712Catalina Foothills: 2.32.3Catalina Foothillsparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 461Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 6.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak (2013)
  • 46Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190047122004: 16 filings (2.81/100 renter HHs)2005: 30 filings (4.89/100 renter HHs)2006: 33 filings (5.38/100 renter HHs)2007: 26 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)2008: 27 filings (4.40/100 renter HHs)2009: 37 filings (6.03/100 renter HHs)2010: 29 filings (5.70/100 renter HHs)2011: 44 filings (7.77/100 renter HHs)2012: 62 filings (10.95/100 renter HHs)2013: 71 filings (12.54/100 renter HHs)2016: 40 filings (8.30/100 renter HHs)2017: 46 filings (9.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 188% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Catalina Foothills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Catalina Foothills

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004712

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004712?

Census tract 04019004712 in the Catalina Foothills neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004712?

Median gross rent is $977/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004712?

5.8% of residents in tract 04019004712 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,248.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004712?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 32th, minority 46th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 04019004712 considered part of Catalina Foothills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004712 fall within Catalina Foothills (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004712?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 461 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004712 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.88% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019004712 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019004712 compare to Catalina Foothills overall?

Tract 04019004712 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Catalina Foothills at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Catalina Foothills

Top eight tracts in Catalina Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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