Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Tierra Serena Eviction Risk: Lower , Catalina Foothills
Tract 04019004724 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,233 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 04019004724 covers part of the Tierra Serena area of Catalina Foothills, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,233 residents. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,012
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$116,894
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Catalina Foothills and the region
Centroid at 32.2890, -110.8838 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tierra Serena scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,929 rent vs county FMR
9.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
3.5
How Tierra Serena compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 21Total filings over 10 yrs
- 1.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2007)
- 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tierra Serena. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.1%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 11.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tierra Serena
The voucher gap is 40.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.1/10.
Average gross rent is $1,929, 37% above the Catalina Foothills average. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Housing insecurity runs 4.2% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
The filing record is not thin: 21 evictions over 10 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 3.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004724
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004724?
Census tract 04019004724 in the Tierra Serena neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004724?
Median gross rent is $1,929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004724?
5.5% of residents in tract 04019004724 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,233.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004724?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 46th, minority 49th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004724 considered part of Tierra Serena?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004724 fall within Tierra Serena (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004724?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 04019004724 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.55% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004724 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004724 compare to Catalina Foothills overall?
Tract 04019004724 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Catalina Foothills at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Catalina Foothills
Top eight tracts in Catalina Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Catalina Foothills
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Westward Look Heights
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Shadow Hills
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004717
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Tierra Serena
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Tierra Serena
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Tanuri Hills
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Tanuri Hills
3
/ 10 · Low
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