Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Mission Royale Eviction Risk: Lower , Casa Grande

Tract 04021001408 · Pinal, AZ · pop 2,535 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 04021001408 covers part of the Mission Royale area of Casa Grande, AZ, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 23% here against 37.6% across Pinal County.

Risk score

3.4

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 5% Owners 94%

Tract context

Occupied units1,268

Renter share6.5%

SVI overall0.11

Poverty rate6.4%

Median income$88,816

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region

Centroid at 32.8646, -111.6699 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mission Royale scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Casa Grande

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

6.4% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,742 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Casa Grande

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Casa Grande

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Casa Grande

6.8

How Mission Royale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

14%Socioeconomic
61%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.1%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
9.2%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
4.9%Transit barriers
8.8%No health insurance
11.3%Frequent mental distress
35.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mission Royale

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.6/10.

Average gross rent is $1,742, 26% above the Casa Grande average. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $88,816.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021001408

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001408?

Census tract 04021001408 in the Mission Royale neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021001408?

Median gross rent is $1,742/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001408?

6.4% of residents in tract 04021001408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,535.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 61th, minority 40th, housing 3th.

Is tract 04021001408 considered part of Mission Royale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021001408 fall within Mission Royale (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021001408 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021001408 compare to Casa Grande overall?

Tract 04021001408 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande

Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.