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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

South Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 05131001201 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 4,589 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 05131001201 sits in the South Fort Smith area of Fort Smith eviction risk, AR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 4,589. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 25% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,472
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$58,258

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In South Fort Smith
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 23 tracts In Fort Smith
Very Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 31 tracts In Sebastian County
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#536 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region

Centroid at 35.3444, -94.4144 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Fort Smith scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$796 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5

How South Fort Smith compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Fort Smith risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0012013.2Fort Smithparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Fort Smith. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Fort Smith

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, housing-court posture reads 1.5/10.

Against Sebastian County at 38.9%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.6 points below the Sebastian County average of 3.6.

At $796 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Fort Smith commands. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Against average income of $58,258, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 05131001201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131001201?

Census tract 05131001201 in the South Fort Smith neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05131001201?

Median gross rent is $796/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05131001201?

12.7% of residents in tract 05131001201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,589.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05131001201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 77th, minority 37th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 05131001201 considered part of South Fort Smith?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05131001201 fall within South Fort Smith (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05131001201 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05131001201 compare to Fort Smith overall?

Tract 05131001201 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith

Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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