Contempo Eviction Risk: Moderate , Union City

It sits 2.4 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Alameda County average of 45.5%. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $3,501, 29% above the Union City average. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.