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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Contempo Eviction Risk: Moderate , Union City

Tract 06001441501 · Alameda, CA · pop 5,723 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 06001441501 sits in the Contempo area of Union City, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 5,723 residents. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 6% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,699
Renter share11.1%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$200,781

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 11 tracts In Contempo
Very Low
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 16 tracts In Union City
Very Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#368 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Very Low
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#8,051 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.5696, -122.0740 · click any tract to drill in

Why Contempo scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,291 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.6

How Contempo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Contempo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 441501Union City: 6.66.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Contempo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Contempo

Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.4 points. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. The voucher gap is 22.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Average gross rent is $3,291, 21% above the Union City average.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 6.7% against 14.2% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001441501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001441501?

Census tract 06001441501 in the Contempo neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001441501?

Median gross rent is $3,291/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001441501?

1.8% of residents in tract 06001441501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,723.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001441501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 24th, minority 92th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 06001441501 considered part of Contempo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001441501 fall within Contempo (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001441501 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001441501 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001441501 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Union City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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