Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06029000510 · Kern, CA · pop 4,757 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 06029000510 in Bakersfield, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,757 residents. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 7% Owners 93%

Tract context

Occupied units1,229

Renter share6.7%

SVI overall0.45

Poverty rate17.6%

Median income$140,673

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.4299, -119.1155 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

17.6% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$2,227 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

45%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.9%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
18.5%Food insecurity
18.8%SNAP enrollment
10.3%Transit barriers
9.2%No health insurance
20.1%Frequent mental distress
31.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

Average gross rent is $2,227, 51% above the Bakersfield average. The voucher gap is 61.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.7 points below the Kern County average of 6.4. On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.8 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $140,673.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029000510

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029000510?

Census tract 06029000510 in Bakersfield scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029000510?

Median gross rent is $2,227/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029000510?

17.6% of residents in tract 06029000510 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,757.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029000510?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 76th, minority 58th, housing 20th.

What share of households in tract 06029000510 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029000510 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029000510 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.