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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

The Groves Eviction Risk: Elevated , Irvine

Tract 06059052417 · Orange, CA · pop 7,906 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 06059052417 sits in the The Groves area of Irvine eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. Population here is 7,906. 60% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 10% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,489
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$130,221

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In The Groves
Very Low
Within parent city
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#48 of 49 tracts In Irvine
Very Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#364 of 613 tracts In Orange
Moderate
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#6,120 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Irvine and the region

Centroid at 33.7056, -117.7621 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Groves scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Irvine
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Irvine
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Irvine
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Irvine
6.3

How The Groves compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Groves risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.5This tracttract 0524177.8Irvineparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Groves. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Groves

Against Orange County at 51.8%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $130,221 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $3,501, 17% above the Irvine average. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059052417

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052417?

Census tract 06059052417 in the The Groves neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059052417?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052417?

3.0% of residents in tract 06059052417 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,906.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052417?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 89th, minority 79th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 06059052417 considered part of The Groves?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052417 fall within The Groves (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059052417 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059052417 compare to Irvine overall?

Tract 06059052417 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Irvine

Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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