Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Tustin Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated , Irvine
Tract 06059052434 ·
Orange, CA · pop 6,588 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 6.5/10, tract 06059052434 in the Tustin Ranch area of Irvine, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,588. Cost burden runs 29% here against 51.8% across Orange County.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 30%Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,246
Renter share42.3%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$166,042
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Tustin Ranch
Very Low
Within parent city
8th percentile
#45 of 49 tracts In Irvine
Very Low
Within county
39th percentile
#375 of 613 tracts In Orange
Low
Within state
33th percentile
#6,120 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Irvine and the region
Centroid at 33.7384, -117.7739 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tustin Ranch scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Irvine
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Irvine
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Irvine
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Irvine
6.3
How Tustin Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
5%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tustin Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.6%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
7.6%Food insecurity
4.8%SNAP enrollment
4.4%Transit barriers
3.5%No health insurance
12.7%Frequent mental distress
17.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tustin Ranch
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $3,501, 17% above the Irvine average.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059052434
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052434?
Census tract 06059052434 in the Tustin Ranch neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059052434?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052434?
3.6% of residents in tract 06059052434 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,588.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052434?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 10th, minority 78th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 06059052434 considered part of Tustin Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052434 fall within Tustin Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059052434 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059052434 compare to Irvine overall?
Tract 06059052434 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Irvine
Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.