Neighborhood · Irvine, CA

Tustin Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 12,979 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.2–4.4

Tustin Ranch is a asian-white neighborhood in Irvine with 2 census tracts and a population of 12,979 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $3,152/month sits 5% higher than the Irvine citywide average ($2,997).

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Tustin Ranch vs Irvine How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

41.3% +31%

Irvine: 31.5%

Average gross rent

$3,152 +5%

Irvine: $2,997

Average HH income

$145,962 +13%

Irvine: $129,647

Poverty rate

4.0% -66%

Irvine: 11.7%

Renter share

42.9% -23%

Irvine: 55.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tustin Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.2–4.4

Why Tustin Ranch scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Rent control risk

41% of income on rent · Range 6.9–8.2 across tracts

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.5 across tracts

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

43% renter households · Range 9.1–9.5 across tracts

9.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.3–6.8 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

4.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.1 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–7.1 across tracts

5.9

Risk score comparison

Tustin Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Tustin Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06059052434	4.4	6,588	29%	$3,501
06059075607	4.2	6,391	54%	$2,792

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 9%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 10%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 19%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tustin Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.8%Housing insecurity
3.4%Utility shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
5.0%SNAP enrollment
3.7%No health insurance
18.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Tustin Ranch

What is the eviction-risk score for Tustin Ranch?

Tustin Ranch scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Tustin Ranch compare to Irvine overall?

Tustin Ranch scores 3.5 points lower than Irvine overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $3,152 vs $2,997.

What is the average rent in Tustin Ranch?

Average gross rent in Tustin Ranch is $3,152/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Tustin Ranch residents are renters?

43% of Tustin Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Irvine). The neighborhood has 12,979 residents.

Is Tustin Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Tustin Ranch sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Tustin Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Tustin Ranch is census tract 06059052434 (score 4.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 4.4, a spread of 0.2 points.

How safe is Tustin Ranch for landlords?

Tustin Ranch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Irvine as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Tustin Ranch?

Tustin Ranch has 13,385 residents (Asian-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (43.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.3%), Hispanic / Latino (16.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tustin Ranch

4.5 Lower Peters Canyon 2 tracts · pop 12,293 3.1 Lemon Heights 2 tracts · pop 9,282 3.3 Browning Station 2 tracts · pop 11,780 4.9 Eastwood 2 tracts · pop 14,445 5.2 Browning 5 tracts · pop 20,501 4.7 The Groves 2 tracts · pop 14,999

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Irvine

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tustin Ranch.

4.4 Laguna Altura 2 tracts · pop 11,833 4.4 Limestone Canyon 1 tracts · pop 17,132 4.4 Rainbow Ridge 1 tracts · pop 3,783 4.5 The Highlands 1 tracts · pop 2,421 4.5 Turtle Rock Summit 1 tracts · pop 1,784 4.5 Lower Peters Canyon 2 tracts · pop 12,293

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