Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Turtle Rock Crest Eviction Risk: Elevated , Irvine
Tract 06059062631 · Orange, CA · pop 3,304 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 06059062631 sits in the Turtle Rock Crest area of Irvine eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. Population here is 3,304. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,149
Renter share12.8%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$207,554
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
31
th percentile
Low
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Irvine and the region
Centroid at 33.6401, -117.8123 · click any tract to drill in
Why Turtle Rock Crest scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Irvine
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Irvine
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Irvine
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Irvine
6.3
How Turtle Rock Crest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.7%Housing insecurity
- 2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 4.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 2.9%No health insurance
- 11.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Turtle Rock Crest
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
Against Orange County at 51.8%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. Food insecurity runs 5.7% against 17.8% nationally.
The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $3,501 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Irvine commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.9% against 11.3% nationally.
Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059062631
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059062631?
Census tract 06059062631 in the Turtle Rock Crest neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059062631?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059062631?
5.9% of residents in tract 06059062631 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,304.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059062631?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 51th, minority 47th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 06059062631 considered part of Turtle Rock Crest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059062631 fall within Turtle Rock Crest (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059062631 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059062631 compare to Irvine overall?
Tract 06059062631 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Irvine
Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Irvine Business Complex
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Myford
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
UCI - North Campus
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Turtle Rock Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Harbor View Knoll
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Turtle Rock Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Turtle Rock Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
El Camino Real
8.8
/ 10 · High
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