Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Turtle Rock Crest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Irvine

Tract 06059062631 · Orange, CA · pop 3,304 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 06059062631 covers Turtle Rock Crest in Irvine, home to 3,304 residents. For landlords it grades 5.9/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 73% of US census tracts.

60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,501 a month against an average household income of $207,554 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 5% Owners 87%

Tract context

Occupied units1,149

Renter share12.8%

SVI overall0.11

Poverty rate5.9%

Median income$207,554

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Irvine and the region

Centroid at 33.6401, -117.8123 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turtle Rock Crest scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Irvine

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

5.9% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

7.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Irvine

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Irvine

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Irvine

6.3

How Turtle Rock Crest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

8%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.7%Housing insecurity
2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
5.7%Food insecurity
4.3%SNAP enrollment
3.6%Transit barriers
2.9%No health insurance
11.4%Frequent mental distress
23.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turtle Rock Crest

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Irvine eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059062631

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059062631?

Census tract 06059062631 in the Turtle Rock Crest neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059062631?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059062631?

5.9% of residents in tract 06059062631 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,304.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059062631?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 51th, minority 47th, housing 9th.

Is tract 06059062631 considered part of Turtle Rock Crest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059062631 fall within Turtle Rock Crest (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059062631 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059062631 compare to Irvine overall?

Tract 06059062631 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Irvine

Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.