Tract 06073016403 ·
San Diego, CA · pop 5,977 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 06073016403 sits in the Granite Hills area of El Cajon, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.5/10. 73% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the San Diego County average of 52.5%.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%Stable renters 12%Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,647
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$81,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Granite Hills
Very High
Within parent city
24th percentile
#17 of 22 tracts In El Cajon
Low
Within county
69th percentile
#228 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within state
72th percentile
#2,547 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across El Cajon and the region
Centroid at 32.8094, -116.9081 · click any tract to drill in
Why Granite Hills scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,834 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
8.5
How Granite Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
65%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
57%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Granite Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.7%Housing insecurity
6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
14.4%Food insecurity
14.5%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
7.6%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Granite Hills
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. It sits 0.9 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.
Nationally it ranks #5,413 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,834, close to the El Cajon average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $81,083. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073016403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073016403?
Census tract 06073016403 in the Granite Hills neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073016403?
Median gross rent is $1,834/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073016403?
11.1% of residents in tract 06073016403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,977.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073016403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 87th, minority 57th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 06073016403 considered part of Granite Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073016403 fall within Granite Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073016403 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073016403 compare to El Cajon overall?
Tract 06073016403 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of El Cajon at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon
Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.