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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Granite Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , El Cajon

Tract 06073016403 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,977 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 06073016403, home to 5,977 residents in the Granite Hills area of El Cajon, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 76% of US census tracts.

About 73% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,834 monthly, set against $81,083 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 12% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,647
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$81,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Granite Hills
Very High
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 22 tracts In El Cajon
Low
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#148 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#3,224 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Cajon and the region

Centroid at 32.8094, -116.9081 · click any tract to drill in

Why Granite Hills scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,834 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
8.5

How Granite Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Granite Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 016403El Cajon: 8.28.2El Cajonparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Granite Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Granite Hills

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from El Cajon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073016403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073016403?

Census tract 06073016403 in the Granite Hills neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073016403?

Median gross rent is $1,834/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073016403?

11.1% of residents in tract 06073016403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,977.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073016403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 87th, minority 57th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 06073016403 considered part of Granite Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073016403 fall within Granite Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073016403 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073016403 compare to El Cajon overall?

Tract 06073016403 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of El Cajon at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon

Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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