Neighborhood · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally

Colache Town Eviction Risk: Elevated , Watsonville

Tract 06087110402 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,369 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 06087110402, home to 4,369 residents in Colache Town in Watsonville, scores 5.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #22,992 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

77% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 57% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,403 a month against an average household income of $89,032 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 10% Owners 57%

Tract context

Occupied units1,304

Renter share42.9%

SVI overall0.69

Poverty rate15.7%

Median income$89,032

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Watsonville and the region

Centroid at 36.9121, -121.7781 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colache Town scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Watsonville

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

15.7% poverty · this tract

3.9

Supply constraint

$2,403 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Watsonville

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Watsonville

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Watsonville

7.5

How Colache Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Colache Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.3%Housing insecurity
11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
27.0%Food insecurity
22.5%SNAP enrollment
13.6%Transit barriers
17.7%No health insurance
19.3%Frequent mental distress
32.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colache Town

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Watsonville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087110402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087110402?

Census tract 06087110402 in the Colache Town neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087110402?

Median gross rent is $2,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087110402?

15.7% of residents in tract 06087110402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,369.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087110402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 58th, minority 92th, housing 69th.

Is tract 06087110402 considered part of Colache Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087110402 fall within Colache Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087110402 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087110402 compare to Watsonville overall?

Tract 06087110402 scores 7/10, lower than the parent city of Watsonville at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watsonville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Watsonville

Top eight tracts in Watsonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.